Welcome back for another installment in Talking 10’s “Wisconsin Week” series. Although most of our articles for “Wisconsin Week” are focusing on football, this is our weekly chance to check in on all the other athletic success stories going on in Madison.
Let’s take a look at some of the highlights of 2015-16 and how that will project forward for Badgers fans in 2016-17. Although there were not many Big Ten titles to speak of across the athletic department, there were some successes outside the context of the Big Ten and on an individual basis.
Let’s see where Wisconsin succeeded the most this year.
(Team photo, courtesy UWBadgers.com)
Heading into the 2015-16 season, Wisconsin was looking to improve on two straight Frozen Four appearances. Of course, when those appearances end in the semifinals to your closest conference rival Minnesota, there’s plenty of motivation to do better and avoid that fate. After all, it couldn’t happen a third time, right?
The Badgers ripped through the regular season with a 30-3-1 record. That included a perfect record at home, as well as a perfect record in non-conference play. Wisconsin also racked up nine consecutive shutouts, an incredible streak of dominant defense to set a national record.
Two of those three losses came in the final weekend of the regular season at Minnesota, causing a split of the season series between the rivals. However, the Badgers finished with a better record and won the regular season championship. That was followed up with a win against the Gophers in a rematch in the WCHA playoff championship. Wisconsin would head into NCAA play with both conference titles in hand, better than previous seasons.
The Badger women knocked off Mercyhurst in the opening NCAA game at home, setting up a Frozen Four rematch against, you guessed it, Minnesota. Despite winning three of the five prior games and despite holding a 2-1 lead heading into the third period, the Badgers lost in overtime and fell short in the same round to the same rival for the third straight season, amazingly.
Junior goalkeeper Ann-Renee Desbiens was the new star of the team, and she will return following a season filled with top individual honors. Seven seniors from last season depart, but Wisconsin under coach Mark Johnson has been able to keep reloading this program. Expect Wisconsin to be competitive at the top end of the WCHA once again this year.
(Celebrating a conference championship for the first time in two decades, photo courtesy UWBadgers.com)
Call this the comeback kids season for coach Paula Wilkins and the Badger women’s soccer team. The 2015 season kicked off with a very rough start in non-conference play, resulting in a 3-3-2 record before Big Ten play. That was made worse by a 4-0 road loss at Penn State to start in the conference.
With the season seemingly on the brink, Wilkins gathered her team and demanded that they figure out who they wanted to be. A dominant defense is apparently the answer to that inquiry, as a scoreless tie and then 8 straight victories followed that speech.
Even more impressively, the Badgers surrendered only 2 total goals in that 9-game stretch, both to Michigan in a 3-2 win. The streak finally came to a close in the season finale against Northwestern, but an 8-2-1 record was good enough to share the conference championship for the first time since 1994.
The good times did not last, however, as the postseason was a short one. Despite hosting OSU in the first round of the conference tournament, Wisconsin lost that game and did not merit an invite to the NCAA tournament. That gives the program more room to grow beyond just trying to repeat as conference champions in 2016.
Wisconsin returns nearly all of the star players from this championship season, including Rose Lavelle, who was 1st team All-Conference following 17 points. Victoria Pickett (freshman of the year), Brianna Stelzer, and Caitlyn Clem won second team honors and all are back as well. Assuming the Badgers play as well on defense with all this experience back, another championship should not take 20 more years to achieve.
Men’s Track & Field (and Zach Ziemek)
(Ziemek, photo courtesy UWBadgers.com)
Thanks to the leadership of fifth-year senior Zach Ziemek, the Wisconsin track and field teams were competitive both in outdoor and indoor season. These were highlighted on a team level by a 2nd place team finish at the indoor Big Ten Championships.
What happened next is what made this athlete and the T&F team make this list. Ziemek set a Big Ten conference record with 6173 points in the heptathlon, and that was more than good enough to win an individual national championship. This is actually the seventh-best collegiate score in history, so Ziemek heads out on top of his game.
The team was not able to secure the same level of success in the outdoor season. The team finished 8th in the Big Ten Championships. Then Ziemek performed well again in the outdoor version of his all-around event, the decathlon, but he ended up in 2nd place in the NCAA Championships.
A few weeks later, Ziemek (called Double Z) improved on his final performance as a collegian by putting up even more points and finishing third at the U.S. Olympic Trials. Now he will be one of three former Badgers to represent his country in track and field events at the Rio Olympics.
Without him, this team has a lot of room to grow for next season to be competitive in the Big Ten. However, this summer will allow Badger fans to take even more pride in their individual champion, Double Z. Good luck in Brazil.
Be sure to continue to support and enjoy these other achievements that the student athletes are bringing home to Badgers fans now and in the near future.
Stay tuned as we next turn the ATC article series to Indiana. Also, check out previous 2016 ATC articles already done (Michigan State, Minnesota, Purdue, Maryland, Nebraska). Have a great week!
Badgers hockey picked 3rd in preseason poll
Yes, it is nearly time for college hockey to get back on the ice.
On Monday, the Big Ten offices released the preseason coaches poll and All-Big Ten players for the 2019-20 season. The Wisconsin Badgers were picked third in the conference, behind Penn State and Notre Dame.
Considering Penn State returns 20 letterwinners from their Big Ten tournament championship team, that pick wasn’t all that shocking.
Wisconsin was also well represented on the individual level. Sophomore defenseman K’Andre Miller was one of just two unanimous picks on the first-team All-Big Ten list.
He was the only Badgers player on the first team, but incoming freshman Cole Caufield was picked as an honorable mention player without even putting on the Wisconsin sweater.
After a few years of struggles, the Badgers have gotten back on track with top level recruits that are sticking around longer and that could make for an interesting season for this program.
Wisconsin finished last season 14-18-5 and 9-10-5 (B1G) and will look to get back to being a NCAA tournament team at a minimum this season.
2019-20 Preseason All-Big Ten Hockey Teams
As selected by Big Ten coaches
Tanner Laczynski, F, Ohio State
Evan Barratt, F, Penn State
Alex Limoges, F, Penn State
Wyatt Kalynuk, D, Wisconsin
K’ANDRE MILLER, D, WISCONSIN
CALE MORRIS, G, NOTRE DAME
Will Lockwood, F, Michigan
Mitchell Lewandowski, F, Michigan State
Sammy Walker, F, Minnesota
Dennis Cesana, D, Michigan State
Cole Hults, D, Penn State
Tommy Nappier, G, Ohio State
Patrick Khodorenko, F, Michigan State
Cal Burke, F, Notre Dame
Cole Caufield, F, Wisconsin
Cam York, D, Michigan
Jerad Rosburg, D, Michigan State
Kris Myllari, D, Penn State
Hayden Lavigne, G, Michigan
Unanimous selections in ALL CAPS
2019-20 BIG TEN PRESEASON POLL
- Penn State
- Notre Dame
- Ohio State
- Michigan State
What do the analytics say about the Badgers 2nd half schedule?
Yes, the loss to Michigan has everyone reeling and plenty of people questioning if the Wisconsin Badgers will ever truly become a national contender.
It’s been one step forward and two giant steps backwards every time the path has been there for the Badgers to date. But, the bitter loss to Michigan is in the rearview mirror and it also was the end of the first half of the Badgers schedule.
So, we thought it would be a good idea to see how some of the computers believe the second half of the schedule looks for the Cardinal and White.
Will the Badgers run the table and get to 10 wins again? Is there disappointment ahead?
Answers vary depending on the models used, but let’s explore how analytics see things going for Paul Chryst’s crew.
Unsurprisingly, the analytics tell us that the Badgers are going to have one big game and a whole lot of control towards a potential 10-win season still in the mix.
According to ESPN’s FPI index, Wisconsin will be favored in all but one game the remainder of the season. That one game of course is the trip to Happy Valley to take on Penn State. The FPI index gives the Badgers a 20 percent chance to win that game.
However, they do give the Badgers better odds against most of the rest of the schedule. It starts with a 95 percent chance at winning the Homecoming matchup with Illinois this weekend.
Wisconsin is also favored to win by 80 percent or more in two other games — Rutgers (97.6) and Minnesota (82.9). The Rutgers result is expected given how little resistance the Scarlet Knights have given to other teams at the bottom of the Big Ten pecking order so far this season.
As for the other games, perhaps the toughest to figure out on the schedule will surprise you. That’s because the FPI believes Purdue will be the biggest challenge outside of the Penn State game. Wisconsin has just a 58.2 chance of winning that game.
That leaves Northwestern in two weeks, and the FPI believes the Badgers have a 62.9 percent chance to win that game in Evanston. With the Wildcats finally getting on a win at Ryan Field last weekend, it will be interesting to see how this contest tracks after this upcoming weekend.
So, if all things hold out ESPN’s FPI see’s the Badgers at 9-3 to end the regular season and still winning the Big Ten West division championship. However, their projections have UW closer to 8-4 and that would likely mean a third loss inside the conference and if that is the case it could be an interesting race in the West division.
ESPN’s rating system is just one of many, so what do the others have to say?
College Football Analytics believes a lot of the same things as ESPN does, but they give the Badgers a good chance of finishing 9-3 overall. To be exact, they put UW’s probability of winning 9 games at 64.4 percent.
Perhaps the most interesting projection comes in the Penn State game, where they give the Badgers much better odds of pulling that game off. Currently, UW is given a win probability of 42.4 precent in that game and a score of 40.2 to 32.9.
Like the FPI, this model has the Badgers winning every other game on its schedule and doing so handily over Illinois, Rutgers and Minnesota. It also believes UW’s biggest toss-up game will be against Purdue, where the Badgers are just a 51 percent favorite to win that game.
But, it’s always good to get a third set of data to work with. That comes from the S&P+ system and not shockingly, they too have the Badgers finishing 9-3 on the season.
But, like the CFB Analytics numbers and unlike the FPI, they believe this game is going to be much closer than expected. The S&P+ system believes it will be less than a touchdown difference in the game.
This model also sees the game at Purdue as the biggest toss up on the UW schedule, with the Badgers given a 57 percent chance of winning and only an expected winning margin of 3.2 points.
So, as you can see there is a lot of agreement amongst the analytics side of the college football world.
It’s hard to disagree with their thoughts given the relative softness of the Badgers overall schedule in the second half of the season.
Pair of Big Ten players named to PFF mid-season All-American team
It hasn’t been a banner year for the Big Ten, with it seeming more and more like the days of the big two and little 10 (12 today). So, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that All-American honors are few and far between.
But, it was near barren for the Big Ten when Pro Football Focus gave out its mid-season All-American honors. Just two players — both on offense — made the cut from the conference.
Ohio State wide receiver K.J. Hill and Wisconsin right guard Beau Benzschawel were both named to the offensive All-American team.
Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor was named honorable mention. So was OSU defensive tackle Dre’mont Jones on the other side of the ball.
What makes Pro Football Focus’ lists so different are the fact that they are based on analyzing actual play from every player in college football throughout the season.
It means, actual play on the field dictates getting on this list and not reputation or PR.
Benzschawel is the second-highest rated guard in the country according to PFF, as they say this about his performance at the midway mark:
Benzschawel is close behind [Terrone] Prescod, grading at 81.1 as a run-blocker, good for sixth among guards while allowing only three pressures on 151 snaps in pass protection.
Much like Benzschawel, Hill is also the second highest rated player at his position. Hill trails only Colorado’s superstar receiver Laviska Shenault Jr. and has a grade of 90.9 on the season.
According to PFF, “Hill has been incredibly efficient as well, catching 85.1% of his targets while averaging 8.2 yards after the catch per reception.”
It will be interesting to see how thing shake out in the second half of the season and if players like Chase Winovich, Rashan Gary or many other of the Badgers offensive lineman grade out better.
Good, Bad, Ugly: The tale of Buckeyes, Badgers and Illini in Week 3
There is no two ways about it — Week 3 was the Big Ten’s collective worst nightmare.
Just take a look at the final scores from the weekend:
So, on a Saturday in which contenders were dropping like flies, how do we make sense of what took place?
Let’s take a look at the good, the bad and the ugly from Week 3 around the Big Ten.
On a weekend that saw so much carnage from Big Ten teams, there is no doubt that Ohio State’s big win over TCU is the good of the weekend. It wasn’t just that the pickings were slim either, the Buckeyes put on a show in the win over the Horned Frogs at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
With the eyes of most of the college football world on them, OSU came up big. They punched hard first, going up 10-0 and then took a big punch from TCU for a pair of touchdowns, the last of which was a school-record 93-yard run by Darius Anderson for the 14-10 lead early in the second quarter.
Let’s not forget there were two defensive touchdowns (albeit one shouldn’t have counted after further review that never happened on the field), including a “fat guy” TD by Dre’mont Jones.
Lost in some of the craziness was the fact that Dwayne Haskins showed out in a big way. He was 24 of 38 for a crazy 344 yards and two touchdowns in the win. Haskins also had a rushing touchdown to cap off all the offensive scoring for his team.
Sure, the defense gave up 511 yards, but it seemed more a byproduct of TCU’s offensive style than anything worrisome about the Buckeyes defense. After all, they forced three total turnovers, had three sacks and seven tackles for loss on the day.
It was a shot across the bow of the rest of the elite in college football and arguable the most dangerous the Buckeyes have looked on both sides of the ball in awhile.
There’s no where to go here other than to head to Madison, Wis. where the Badgers came in to their contest against BYU with a 41-game home non-conference win streak.
By the time the mid-afternoon matchup was over, the Badgers streak was also over and it wasn’t a fluke. The visiting Cougars took a page out of the Wisconsin playbook and simply out-muscled the Badgers on both sides of the ball.
UW’s normally potent run game averaged just 4.7 yards per carry. Its defense allowed 191 yards to BYU on the ground. That pretty much sums up the shock that happened inside Camp Randall.
For the first time in over 15 years, a non-conference opponent came in to Camp Randall, outplayed and finally beat the Badgers. We’ll see if this is a wake up call or the start of a snowball effect that can’t be stopped.
Having rival Iowa on the road and at night should certainly get the Badgers attention this coming week.
Sure, we could’ve gone with Northwestern getting blown out by a MAC opponent at home. There was also Rutgers’ piss-poor day at Kansas and Temple working over Maryland. But, those were all blowouts and there was just one loss that hurt more than any other…Illinois.
For just over 57 minutes, this week felt different for Illini fans…until South Florida’s Darnell Salomon hauled in a 50-yard touchdown from Blake Barnett with 2:24 to play.
That was just a downright brutal blow to a program that could’ve used the win in the worst way. Illinois got an early touchdown from running back Mike Epstein and then four field goals (three of which were over 40 yards) for a 19-7 lead late in the third quarter.
Then the fourth quarter happened and you could just feel the game slipping away. Just over three minutes after the last of Illinois last field goal, it was Salomon who broke through with a 14-yard touchdown catch to make it a 5-point game. Add in a field goal midway through the quarter and a 19-7 lead was whittled down to 19-17.
But, the Illini really only have themselves to blame. After all, they squandered four drives that were in USF territory and couldn’t get in the end zone. The Illini also couldn’t score a single point in the final quarter, and that’s usually not a good thing.
The play in the final stanza was particularly brutal, as USF’s defense held the Illini to just 94 total yards and forced them to go 2-of-7 on third downs. That’s how you lose a game you should’ve taken care of.
If there was a silver lining in the ugly way this loss happened, it was that MJ Rivers’ debut at quarterback was a success. He was 20 of 29 passing for 168 yards. While he didn’t get in to the end zone through the air, Rivers also didn’t turn the ball over while passing either. That’s a positive step lost in the brutal way this loss took place.
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