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Storylines to watch as Badgers fall camp opens up

As the Wisconsin Badgers open up fall camp for the 2017 season, what are some of the biggest storylines we’ll be following?

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Fall camp got underway on Saturday morning for the Wisconsin Badgers, and the now long slog to the season opener against Utah State begins.

Even with the camp underway, we’ve got four weeks to get to the season and extra days added on thanks to the NCAA eliminating two-a-day practices. It means one day isn’t going to make or break a fall camp. It also gives a good idea of where the Badgers are starting from.

With that said, what are the storylines we’ll be watching as UW’s fall camp? If you don’t have time to follow all the time, we’ve got the storylines you need to be paying attention to.

Offensive Line Shuffle

After a few years of less-than-competitive play from the Badgers offensive line, it appears Paul Chryst an Joe Rudolph have a lot of really good players fighting for just five starting spots. No headline going in to fall camp was bigger than the news that star center Michael Dieter was moving out to left tackle, with redshirt freshman Tyler Biadasz taking over at center.

It also means expected left tackle, David Edwards, is moving back to his original spot of right tackle for now.

But, that also means Jacob Maxwell and Patrick Kasl, who were in a heated battle out of spring ball, move further down the depth chart. It also means that left guard is likely a battle between Jon Dietzen and Micah Kapoi only.

For as much talent as is on the Badgers depth chart, there may be no bigger storyline to watch than how Rudolph and Co. sort out the competition and settle on a starting group. The sooner that happens, the better off this team will be heading in to the opener. Should we see a competition running deep in to camp, I’d become worried about continuity and ability to gel together.

I know it’s a good problem to have all this talent, but this is where coaching comes in. Can Rudolph get it figured out and stick with his guns?

Outside Linebacker

If you think the offensive line is loaded, let me introduce you to Wisconsin’s linebacking group. Whether it is inside or outside linebacker, the Badgers appear to be loaded with talent. However, outside linebacker is the bigger storyline to watch if you ask me.

That’s because the pair of starting positions are up for grabs and it appears Garrett Dooley and Leon Jacobs are first in line to get starting play time. Dooley proved he could be up to the task last season, but there are a lot of questions opposite of him and a rotation to figure out as well.

Jacobs moved back to outside linebacker late in the spring and apparently impressed enough to be named the starter after the spring. But, names like Zack Baun, Andrew Van Ginkel, Christian Bell and Izayah Green-May are certainly going to push for bigger roles.

There’s a ton of talent to sort out at this position group, but it may come down to actual production once the games get going. Can Jacobs continue his progression from the spring? Will Baun recover and take over? What about the size and athleticism of Green-May?

As you can see, this may be the best problem new defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard has on his hands heading in to 2017.

Secondary Depth

As much attention as the offensive line shuffle got heading in to camp, there has been little chatter of the changes happening in the secondary. No doubt, Derrick Tindal and D’Cota Dixon are good leaders and solid players at cornerback and safety respectively.

But, this team is very young and inexperienced overall in the secondary. The good news is that Hawaii transfer Nick Nelson appears to be ready to be a solid starter opposite of Tindal. But, what do we know about redshirt freshman Dontye Carriere-Williams, Caesar Williams and Faion Hicks? We know all three impressed at times in the spring, but there’s a big difference between spring standout and solid contributor in the fall.

Sophomore Titus Booker could be a good option at nickel back, but again, there’s a lot of inexperience to his game.

Depth at safety is also inexperienced, as Eric Burrell, Patrick Johnson II, Scott Nelson and Seth Currens have a lot to prove. Joe Ferguson appears to be the front-runner to start opposite of Dixon, and as a senior he should be ready to go. But, due to the depth at the position over the last few years, Ferguson doesn’t have the experience that a lot of seniors would have.

How Leonhard sorts out a talented group, but one that needs to show it can hold up to challenges, will be very interesting to watch.

Starting Running Back Situation

Once again, after a few down years and wonder over the true depth of the running back position, it appears things are back to normal. UW has at least three capable running backs with plenty of experience in Bradrick Shaw, Pitt transfer Chris James and Taiwan Deal.

Not a bad group of different looking players to throw at opponents in your backfield. Now add in incoming freshman and back-to-back New Jersey 100-meter dash champion, Jonathan Taylor, and you could have four guys capable of taking carries this season.

However, the biggest storyline appears to be who will be the one lining up behind the quarterback in 2017. The race was way closer than some thought heading in to camp between Shaw and James. It is going to be interesting to see if James’ versatility or Shaw’s rugged and tenacious running style win out.

Or, will UW really use them as 1a and 1b and who cares who is the “starter” on paper? I think the latter may be the case, because it is really hard to see James being just a “change of pace” or third down-only back. He’s just too talented than that, while Shaw appears to be a very special talent.

Both will get opportunities and once again, plenty of coaches in the country would love to be deciding on a starting running back because of the competition in the group and not because they aren’t sure if they have anyone they like.

I can’t wait to watch these two when the pads get put on and the team drills get going.

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Defense leads Badgers to win over Northwestern

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It sure wasn’t pretty, but the Wisconsin Badgers took down reigning West division champions, the Northwestern Wildcats just the same.

UW’s defense came up big in the 24-15 victory. What happened, which players were the highlights and what needs to be worked on as the 4-0 Badgers go out of conference next week?

Our publisher, Andrew Coppens, comes to you with his full recap of UW’s win.

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Wisconsin Badgers vs. Northwestern Wildcats Preview

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Wisconsin comes in its fourth game of the season flying high off of an early season benchmark win over Michigan. Up next are the Northwestern Wildcats – a program that has been very competitive against the Badgers over the last decade.

Given that history and how this early season has played out for both teams, what can we expect from the Badgers and Wildcats? Will it be revenge for Jack Coan or will Northwestern get back on track after a 1-2 start to the season.

Watch to find out the names to know, the stats to keep an eye on and more.

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Wisconsin vs. Northwestern: 5 Things to Know

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For many fans of the Wisconsin Badgers, the high of victory over Michigan has not worn off. After all, it is just the 16th time in the history of the series that that happened.

But, we’re turning the corner and looking forward to the next game.

That next game is a home contest against the Northwestern Wildcats, also known as the reigning, defending, Big Ten West division champions. Let’s just say what we’ve seen from the Wildcats in 2019 does not resemble anything that we saw in 2018.

Northwestern comes in to this divisional contest on the heels of a 31-14 drubbing by an equally troubled Michigan State offense and sits with a 1-2 record on the early season.

But, overlooking anyone in the Big Ten is a big mistake. So, what do we need to know about this upcoming matchup? Let’s look at the 5 Things to know.

5: Wisconsin has won 5 of the last 6 meetings in Madison

One thing we can always count on in the Wisconsin-Northwestern series is the home team winning, right? After all, Wisconsin has won 5 of the last 6 games in Madison and Northwestern is the same 5 of the last six at Ryan Field in Evanston.

During those last six home games against the Wildcats, Wisconsin is averaging 35 points per game and has given up an average of 14.5 points per game.

In those last six road games in this series, UW is averaging 12 fewer points (23ppg) and has given up an average of nearly 12 more points per game (23.6).

Good thing this one is in Madison, huh?

4: Is the single-game record for pass break ups for Northwestern

Why would this be relevant? Well, that record was just tied last weekend as Greg Newsome II recorded four individual pass break ups in the loss to Michigan State. It was also his career high.

According to the stats, Newsome is averaging 2.3 pass break ups per game as well and that puts him in the national lead.

So far this year, Wisconsin quarterback Jack Coan has been remarkably efficient. He’s completed over 76 percent of his passes and has zero interceptions. Newsome is likely to go after the Badgers best performer in Quintez Cephus.

Who wins this battle could be a big factor in who wins the overall game on Saturday.

3: UW leads the country in opponent third down conversion rate

While advanced stats are all the rage, some of the old-fashioned stats are equally telling. One such stat can be third down conversions. Generally speaking, the fewer you allow your opponent to convert on, the fewer chances they have to score points.

It turns out, the Wisconsin Badgers are pretty good at it, allowing opponents to convert on just 10.5 percent of their third down chances so far this season.

The Badgers have allowed opponents to convert on just 4 of 38 attempts so far this season.

For reference, Ohio State is second in the Big Ten with an average of 23 percent. Second nationally is Kansas State at 16 percent.

Northwestern’s offense hasn’t exactly been good — converting just 18 of 48 attempts (37.5 percent) to rank 11th in the Big Ten.

Wisconsin’s offense also leads the Big Ten in 3rd down conversions at 56.4 percent on the season. That mark is also 7th nationally.

Let’s just say, third down has been Wisconsin’s down most of the season.

2: Northwestern’s Joe Gaziano is 2nd in all-time sacks

Know the name Joe Gaziano, commit it to memory and don’t let him get to the quarterback.

I’m guessing that is the message being delivered by offensive line coach and offensive coordinator Joe Rudolph this week and it is a wise move.

That’s because the senior Northwestern defensive end is on pace to become the best sacker of quarterbacks in program history. His fourth-straight season with a sack of Brian Lewerke last week put him tied with Ifeadi Odenigbo (2013-16) for second in Northwestern history with 23.5 career sacks and is now just 4.5 behind Casey Dailey’s program record of 28.

His task won’t be particularly easy on Saturday though, as UW’s offensive line has given up just five sacks in three games and that number has only gone down since the opener.

Wisconsin gave up three sacks to USF and since then has only given up one sack each to Central Michigan and Michigan.

If Northwestern can’t get pressure on Jack Coan and allows him to be comfortable in the pocket, it could be a very long day at Camp Randall for the visitors.

1: Wisconsin leads the nation in game control

What is game control, you may be asking? Well it turns out game control is the amount of time you are able to hold a 14 or more point lead during a game.

Through three games, the Badgers have been up 14 or more points for 76.6 percent of the time per SportsSource Analytics.

Yes, it has come against two bad opponents and a Michigan team that got its soul crushed by the Badgers. But, for a Wisconsin team that has been notorious for playing down to competition, this is about as good an indication of how good they have been as you will find.

Add in Northwestern’s offensive struggles and this game feels like it won’t look much like the competitive ones we’ve been accustomed to and that have some believing this game a rivalry.

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Be wary of the trap against Northwestern?

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It feels like the classic trap game, right? Wisconsin just dominated an opponent everyone seemed to think was better than them on paper and Northwestern is coming to Camp Randall.

I mean, Northwestern has just one win on the season and is coming off a 31-14 loss to Michigan State that wasn’t as close as the score would tell you.

Given the history of the Badgers and Wildcats this isn’t good news, right? This is your classic Admiral Ackbar moment:

Or is it?

Well, sure, you may point to the fact that Wisconsin has won five of the last six inside Camp Randall and the trouble has really been on the road, but may I remind you that Northwestern got the Badgers 13-7 in 2015 for a split of the last two games in Madison?

Let’s also remember that every year is different from the next, until it start to feel like all the others playing out right before your eyes once again.

Speaking of which, did I mention that Northwestern is notorious for slow starts to their seasons? See 2016 (1-3), 2017 (2-3) and 2018 (1-3) for reference and then see what they did the rest of those seasons.

Well, this year the Wildcats are 1-2 in games prior to their school year even starting.

It all should give Wisconsin some pause because it seems like the Wildcats are historically poised to break out.

But, there’s a big difference between most of those years and this year — in most of those years, the Wildcats were playing good football and just couldn’t find a way to win.

You can’t say that about the 2019 Wildcats to say the least and stats are our friend here.

Let’s just start with the fact that the Wildcats of 2019 have not found a way to score even if it would bite them in the backside. The passing game has just one touchdown to six interceptions, completing just 48.3 percent of its passes for 408 yards.

That’s Wisconsin 2018 levels of bad, if not worse.

Northwestern is also averaging just 15.7 points per game, dead last in the Big Ten. Even Rutgers has managed to score an average of three times a game (21.3 through 3 games).

Through the first three games of last season, Northwestern averaged 24 points per game and topped the 30 point mark in two games (a 31-27 opening game thriller over Purdue and a 34-39 loss to Akron).

In 2017, Northwestern averaged 32.3 points per game in the first three of the year and in 2016 the average points per game were nearly as bad as this year — at 17.3 points per game.

That 2016 season is one this team would like to forget, as they went just 6-6 on the regular season before winning their bowl game over Pittsburgh to eek out a winning season in the end.

On the flip side, the Northwestern defense has usually been able to be counted on. So far this year, they have given up an average of 20.6 points per game, putting them 8th in the league, but right around their averages for most of the past three years as well.

But, Northwestern has faced Stanford, UNLV and Michigan State — three offenses that have largely struggled to get going themselves this year.

Is the Wildcats stat machine an indication of a good defense or just bad offenses they have played against?

Well, we can go to the advanced stats to tell us just how different the Badgers and Wildcats have been this season. Let’s take a look at the plot chart of S&P+ for instance:

For those of you new to this type of chart and rating, the more lower and to the right you are, the better you are. The further to the left and up you are, the worse you are.

So, what you are seeing is the byproduct of just how bad Northwestern’s offense as been. They are way off to the left on this plot chart, indicating they are amongst the worst overall performing teams in the Big Ten.

When you are in the category of Rutgers, you are doing it wrong, oh so wrong.

Take a look at Michigan State, where their defensive rating is so good, but the offense has been so bad (up until last week against Northwestern ironically) that they are where they are on this chart.

Or how about Hunter Johnson, the former 5-star recruit to Clemson that transferred and was expected to be the savior of all things Northwestern’s offense in 2019.

Well, the advanced stats have him as one of the bottom 15 quarterbacks in average PPA.

On the flip side, the metrics have a love affair with Wisconsin right now.

One thing is for sure, we’re going to get an ornery Pat Fitzgerald.

Maybe Fitz will hire one of those experts to get his offense in gear? Either that or hold off for another week, because Wisconsin would like another week of you not figuring out how to advance the ball on offense.

Either way, expecting the normal Badgers vs. Wildcats craziness just shouldn’t be a thing this week. These two teams are going in very different directions and fast.

Does that mean the Badgers will take Northwestern lightly going in to Saturday? Since the majority of this team were on the field for Wisconsin’s soul-crushing loss in Evanston, you can bet they won’t be taking anything for granted on Saturday morning.

Just don’t expect this to be the classic trap game it has been for both teams in the past.

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